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제목 美 기준금리 0∼0.25%로 운용… 제로금리 시대개막(동아) /Fed Cuts Key Rate to Record Low
글쓴이 동아,WP 등록일 2008-12-17
출처 동아, WP 조회수 1305

다음은 동아닷컴 http://www.donga.com 에 있는 기사입니다.

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분야 : 국제   2008.12.17(수) 04:42 편집


美 기준금리 0∼0.25%로 운용… 제로금리 시대개막

 



동영상 제공: 로이터/동아닷컴 특약

미국중앙은행은 16일 사상 처음으로 기준금리인 연방기금금리를 제로금리 수준인 0~0.25%로 낮췄다.

또 통화 정책 방향을 국채와 모기지 채권의 대규모 매입 등을 통해 통화 공급량 자체를 늘리는 '양적 완화'로 전환하기로 하는 등 경기부양을 위해 모든 수단을 동원하겠다고 선언했다.

미국중앙은행의 통화정책결정기구인 연방공개시장위원회(FOMC)는 이날 이틀간 열린 12월 정례회의를 마친 뒤 연방기금금리를 1%에서 0~0.25%로 운용하기로 결정했다고 밝혔다.

이 같은 금리수준은 미 통화정책 기록사상 최저 수준이며 현재 세계적으로도 가장 낮은 수준이다. 일본중앙은행은 현재 기준금리를 0.3%로 운용하고 있다.

또 연방준비제도이사회(FRB)는 재할인율을 0.75%포인트 인하한 0.5%로 낮췄다.

FOMC는 이날 성명에서 "지난번 회의 이후 노동시장 여건이 악화되고 경기지표들도 소비자지출과 기업투자, 산업생산이 줄어들고 있음을 보여줬으며 금융시장과 신용여건도 여전히 경색돼 있다"면서 "전체적으로 경제활동 전망이 더 나빠졌다"고 금리를 사상 최저 수준으로 낮춘 배경을 설명했다.

이어 "중앙은행은 유지 가능한 경제성장 회복과 가격안정 유지를 위해 모든 가능한 수단을 동원할 것"이라며 "특별히 취약한 경제여건을 고려할 때 이례적으로 낮은 금리 수준이 당분간 유지될 가능성이 있다고 예상한다"고 말했다.

FOMC는 "앞으로 정책의 초점은 공개시장조작과 중앙은행의 자산 규모를 최대 수준으로 유지하는 다른 정책 수단을 사용해 금융시장 기능의 정상적인 작동과 경제 부양을 지원하는 게 될 것"이라며 앞으로 몇 분기에 걸쳐 통화공급량 자체를 늘리기 위해 국채와 모기지 관련 채권을 대규모로 매입할 것이라며 통화정책을 양적 완화로 전환했음을 공식화했다.

양적 완화정책은 일본중앙은행(BOJ)이 2000년대 초 잃어버린 10년이라는 극심한 경기침체에서 벗어나기 위해 도입했던 것으로 중앙은행이 하루짜리 초단기 금리인 기준금리를 인하하는 통상적인 금리정책을 포기하고 통화량 자체를 늘림으로써 경기를 방어하고 신용경색을 해소하는 방안이다.

FOMC는 이와 관련해 "장기국책을 매입하는 잠재적인 효과에 대해 평가를 하고 있다"고 말했다.

FOMC는 또 "내년에 중앙은행이 가계와 중소기업에 대해 신용대출을 확대할 수 있는 대출창구를 개설할 예정"이라며 신용시장과 경제활동을 지원하기 위해 발권력을 동원한 유동성 지원방안도 계속 검토할 것이라고 덧붙였다.

그러나 FOMC는 인플레이션 압력에 대해서는 그동안 상당히 줄어들었고 국제원유 등 에너지와 다른 원자재 가격 하락과, 경제활동 위축 심화 등을 고려하면 앞으로 몇 분기에 걸쳐 더 완화될 것으로 예상했다.

이날 FOMC에서 사상 최저수준으로 금리를 인하하기로 한 결정은 벤 버냉키 FRB 의장 등 10명 위원 전원의 만장일치로 통과됐다.

인터넷뉴스팀

 

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다음은 워싱턴포스트  http://www.washingtonpost.com 에 있는

기사입니다.

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Fed Cuts Key Rate to Record Low

 

Bank Pledges New Tactics With 'All Available Tools'

to Boost Economy

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Washington Post Staff Writer

Wednesday, December 17, 2008; Page A01
 
 

The Federal Reserve yesterday exhausted its most fundamental tool for managing the economy, slashing short-term interest rates to nearly nothing and promising aggressive new tactics to arrest a deepening recession.

 
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The central bank cut its target for the federal funds rate, at which banks lend to each other, from 1 percent to a target range of 0 percent to 0.25 percent, the lowest rate on record. Although the Fed has no more room to reduce the interest rate -- it has been cut 10 times in 15 months -- the bank's leaders said in a statement that they would use "all available tools" to bolster the economy.

 

Fed policymakers, noting that financial markets remain strained and economic activity weak, strongly suggested it would use unconventional means to lower the rates Americans pay for mortgages, car loans and business loans.

 

"The Fed is now focused on getting credit to businesses and consumers rather than just pumping money into the economy in a passive way," said Julia Coronado, senior U.S. economist at Barclays Capital.

 

The announcement jolted Wall Street, driving the Dow Jones industrial average up 4.2 percent, or 360 points, and sending long-term interest rates on government bonds and mortgage securities plummeting in anticipation of future Fed interventions.

 

Normally, the Fed stimulates growth by lowering short-term interest rates, thus injecting money into the economy. That tactic is not working the way it typically would; lending rates have risen sharply because of the financial crisis. With yesterday's move, the Fed acknowledged that it has done all it can with ordinary rate cuts, and said it is likely to leave that rate at "exceptionally low" levels for "some time."

 

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In the past, people wanting to understand the central bank's policies would look to decisions on the federal funds rate and accompanying statement. With the benchmark rate now basically stuck in place for the foreseeable future, Fed watchers will instead want to pay attention to which lending programs the Fed creates or expands to understand how it is guiding the economy, a senior Fed official told reporters yesterday in a conference call.

 

In its statement, the Fed said it "stands ready" to expand purchases of mortgage-related securities; it plans to buy $600 billion of them under a program announced last month that has driven mortgage rates down by half a percentage point. Expanded purchases would likely drive mortgage rates lower.

 

Similarly, the Fed said it is "evaluating the potential benefits" of purchasing long-term Treasury bonds, the prospect of which drove the rates on 10-year Treasurys down by 0.2 percentage points in trading yesterday.

 

Finally, the statement noted a Fed program being created to funnel money toward credit card loans, auto loans, student loans and small-business loans. It said the Fed would "continue to consider ways of using its balance sheet to further support credit markets and economic activity," which could include such steps as creating a similar program to buy commercial real estate loans or mortgage debt not backed by government-sponsored companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

The rate cut and statement were approved unanimously by the Fed's policymaking committee, indicating that a broad set of Fed leaders were on board with the strategy-- including presidents of regional Federal Reserve banks, many of whom were hostile to aggressive rate cuts and unconventional intervention in the economy earlier in the year, partly out of fears over inflation.

 

Apparently the rapid drop in prices has helped assuage those fears; the Labor Department said yesterday that the consumer price index fell 1.7 percent in November, its steepest drop on record.


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Fed Cuts Key Rate to Record Low

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The depth of the economy's contraction seems to have persuaded even reluctant Fed leaders to sign on.

 

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"The situation is so dire that everyone was of the same opinion that we need to put out the big fire first and then worry about the rest," said Sung Won Sohn, an economist at California State University at Channel Islands. "The risks here are not just of a minor contraction, but possibly a repetition of the lost decade of Japan in the '90s or even the Great Depression. The consequences are so catastrophic nobody wants to take that chance."

 

The Fed declined to explicitly cut its target to zero percent for technical reasons, the senior Fed official said. The central bank sets a target for the federal funds rate, then buys and sells short-term Treasury debt to try to maintain that rate among banks, pumping money into and out of the economy as necessary.

 

Normally, the actual federal funds rate is very close to that target level, but lately, the vast size of the Fed's balance sheet has created technical difficulties that mean the actual funds rate has frequently veered far from its intended level, a reality that the Fed is acknowledging by setting a range rather than a single numerical target.

 

"They're at such a low level that it's gotten really hard to control the funds rate," said John Silvia, chief economist at Wachovia. "This cut is essentially saying 'Let's get this over with.' "

 

Analysts expect the actual federal funds rate to be 0.10 to 0.15 percent. The change may not lower borrowing costs for ordinary Americans by much immediately, but that could change when the financial crisis eases, and in the meantime it could help banks rebuild their battered capital structures, as they can borrow money essentially for free and the lend it out for much higher rates.

 

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The very low rate could create problems for money-market mutual funds, however, especially those that invest heavily in government debt. The managers of these funds generally deduct their fees from the interest that the funds earn, and with interest rates extraordinarily low, those earnings may be too low to cover management fees.

 

That, said Silvia, could lead some money-market mutual fund managers to invest in longer-term investments or riskier assets. Others have suggested that they need to revamp their fee structures.


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